Mon, 14 August 2023
Jason discusses the state of the housing market from a scenic location in Medellin, Colombia. He highlights the remarkably low mortgage delinquency rates, the lowest since 1979, debunking predictions of market collapse. He contrasts today's median mortgage payments, even with rising interest rates, to those in 2011-2013 when prices were significantly lower. Hartman dismisses concerns about unemployment impacting the housing market, arguing that unemployment benefits can comfortably cover these low mortgage payments. And in part 2 of Dean Rogers' interview, Jason discusses the current state of the real estate market, focusing on the reasons why a housing crash is unlikely. He emphasizes that the market is not currently in a bubble, attributing this to factors such as solid lending practices, high-quality borrowers, low inventory levels, and strong demand for housing. He also points out that the shortage of entry-level homes, combined with the lack of distressed sellers and the equity that homeowners hold, makes a crash less probable. Furthermore, he discusses the multi-dimensional returns of income properties and predicts that mortgage rates may settle around 5% in the future. Overall, he suggests that the real estate market is stable and poised for continued appreciation.
Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 1:27 Welcome from Medellin, Colombia 1:58 Lowest mortgage delinquency rates since 1979 3:41 Chart: Median monthly mortgage payment | Median home sale price 6:37 The wild card Dean Rogers interviews Jason Part 2 8:18 Rents for Single Family Homes are going up a lot more 9:02 There is no such thing as a "national housing market" 9:38 10 to 12 year cycle market crash 11:32 Chart: Percent of closed-end, first lien mortgages outstanding by interest rate 12:42 Chart: Percent of closed-end, first lien mortgages byd current loan to value 14:46 Chart: mortgage originations by credit score 15:45 US population growth 1990-2020 & the most important charts 16:07 Inflation adjusted house prices 3.6% below peak 16:26 Single Family housing units completed 17:38 PropertyTracker.com 19:32 There is very low inventory 20:01 Interest rates 26:01 The property has to make sense from the day you buy it
Mentioned: Debt: The First 5000 Years by David Graeber Grant's Interest Rate Observer https://www.grantspub.com/
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: 2038_CW_HotSeat_-_Jason_Hartman_INTERVIEWED_by_Dean_Rogers_P2_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00pm EDT |
Fri, 11 August 2023
Today's Flashback Friday is from episode 517 published on May 18, 2015. Jason talks on why the US real estate is vastly better than the European market and also answers a listener question from Pam. Gary Carmell is the author of The Philosophical Investor: Transforming Wisdom into Wealth. He talks to Jason on what is a philosophical investor, the reason why there was a 2008 real estate crash, inflationary pressure and much more.
Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 6:43 The US real estate is still better than the Euro real estate for income investing. 17:46 Jason answers a listener question from Pam. Gary Carmell interview 21:11 Jason introduces Gary Carmell 23:36 What is the philosophical investor? 31:26 Jason breaks down the real estate market into three types: linear, cyclical, and hybrid. 39:46 Why does the typical institutional investor always go for the class A properties? 51:56 There isn't a lot of demand right now for burrowing money. 54:26 How does Gary feel about deflation?
Mentioned In This Episode: http://www.cwscapital.com/who_we_are/carmell.aspx
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: 2037_FBF_Gary_Carmell__From_Wisdom_to_Wealth_with_Author_of_The_Philosophical_Investor_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00pm EDT |
Wed, 9 August 2023
Jason Hartman discusses various topics related to the real estate market and mortgage debt service payments. He emphasizes the importance of taking a broader and longer-term perspective when evaluating economic and real estate trends. He highlights that while some might focus on recent increases in mortgage debt service payments as a percentage of disposable income, the current burden is still much lower than in previous years, indicating a favorable situation. He addresses Fannie Mae's recent profits and forecasts, noting that despite concerns about a potential recession, the housing market remains resilient. He highlights Fannie Mae's strong credit characteristics for mortgages, with a weighted average mark to market loan-to-value of 51%, indicating significant equity in properties. He also mentions the decreasing serious delinquency rate, showcasing the overall health of the mortgage market. Jason promotes a balanced perspective and urges viewers to avoid falling for sensationalist headlines. The content provides insights into the current state of the real estate market and mortgage industry, encouraging viewers to consider historical context and broader trends when assessing the market's outlook. Then in an interview done by Dean Rogers, Jason talks about how one can benefit from inflation and his trademark strategy "Inflation Induced Debt Destruction," inviting people to invest in the most "tax-favored asset class in America today": income property! #RealEstate #MortgageMarket #HousingTrends #LongTermPerspective Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 1:33 Share your comments on the different platform especially Spotify! 2:54 Homeowners are experiencing the lowest interest rates- ever 3:46 Mortgage Debt Service Payments 7:16 Back up and look at the BIG picture 10:15 Fannie Mae's $5 Billion Profit in Q2, but still expects a recession Dean Rogers interviews Jason 14:41 Introductions, Malthus and the Crash Bros 18:23 The business plan of governments and central banks 20:59 Inflation Induced Debt Destruction 24:30 Income-Investment strength vs. Inflation 26:14 Reduced Supply: Few Sellers 30:10 Number of mortgages by interest rate
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: 2036_CW_HotSeat_-_Jason_Hartman_INTERVIEWED_by_Dean_Rogers_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00pm EDT |
Mon, 7 August 2023
Jason is in Salt Lake City, Utah, hosting The Collective Mastermind gathering with Ken McElroy and George Gammon. He gives us a short outlook on millennial and unemployment myths versus the housing market and its current shortage and why it is really good for income property investors! Then Jason welcomes Tobias Peter of American Enterprise Institute back to the show! Tobias and Jason discuss the challenges faced by the housing market due to low interest rates and the lack of supply of homes on the market. They argue that the market is in an unhealthy state due to the low supply and high demand, with buyers and sellers struggling to meet their needs due to a lack of inventory. Tobias suggests that the current supply-demand relationship is unhealthy and buyers should consider breaking back into the market if they want to avoid a market crash. The lack of housing supply is due to government policies like single-family detached zoning and environmental regulations, which have made it harder to build and find land to build. The current housing market has been under-building for 40-50 years. Tobias and Jason agree on the need to relax building standards and allow builders to build cheaper properties to provide affordable housing for low-income families. They also mention the benefits of equity accumulation for wealthy individuals and compare the bond market to the mortgage market, as higher interest rates make existing mortgages more valuable. #HousingMarketInsights #EconomicOutlook Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 1:28 Welcome to Salt Lake City, Utah 2:08 Busting the Millennial myth 3:37 Pure optimism from a home builder; not much competition from the resale market 4:31 Myth about the unemployment effect on housing supply 6:45 Unemployment insurance and mortgages Tobias Peter interview 8:47 Welcome Tobias Peter of the American Enterprise Institute 9:29 A generally bullish outlook on the economy as YOY Home Price Appreciation (HPA) accelerates 11:56 The housing Supply-Demand Relationship and issues that affect the market 20:07 Policies that seek to do away with foreclosures and institutionalize forbearance 21:33 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans 23:36 Year On Year HPA by Metro- 60 Largest: Linear vs. Cyclical Markets 25:24 Evidence of permanent mortgage rate buydowns by the largest builders 28:27 Modern Finance Theory (MFT) 32:03 Allow builders to build 37:43 California's homeless problem 41:23 The future is inflationary- a bullish view on the economy
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: 2035_CI_AMA_AIPIS_CW_-_Tobias_Peter_AEI_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00pm EDT |
Fri, 4 August 2023
This Flashback Friday is from episode 535 published last June 29, 2015. Mark Fleming is the Chief Economist for First American Financial Corporation. He has been a trusted voice with over 20 years of experience in the mortgage and property information business. Mark talks on the housing collapse, where the housing market is today, and why you should pay attention to the Millennial and Baby Boomer market.
Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 6:23 Jason does the math on a high-end property in a cyclical market versus a lower-priced property in a linear market. 12:26 Owning five diversified properties is much better than owning one expensive property. 18:11 If you want to be green, be a cash flow investor. Mark Fleming Interview 20:31 Jason introduces Mark Fleming. 23:51 Before the recession, there was a lot of incentive to flip homes as oppose to buying a home to live in. 26:26 Texas, the Dakotas, and Oklahoma are considered the energy states and currently have a good real estate market. 29:01 Mark talks judicial versus nonjudicial foreclosures. 36:56 Pay attention to where Millennials want to live and where Baby Boomers want to retire. 45:26 Mark believes Millennials might marry later, but they will still have a high marriage rate. 48:16 We may see a major shift in housing when Millennials are in their mid 30s. 51:46 What should the home-ownership rate be? Mark believes 65% is the magic number.
Mentioned:
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: 2034_FBF_Pay_Close_Attention_to_The_Millennial_Demographic_with_Mark_Fleming_-_Chief_Economist_at_First_American_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00pm EDT |
Wed, 2 August 2023
Today, Jason discusses an article about Fannie Mae, a government-sponsored entity, which reported a significant profit increase and expects a 3.9% rise in home prices despite a looming recession. He emphasizes the resilience of the housing market and how first-time homebuyers are still active despite rising home prices and decreased affordability. The low delinquency rate, high credit scores, and significant down payments reflect the strong state of the housing market. Jason also teases upcoming content on rental income trends. Then Jason finishes his interview with John Williams. They discuss various economic and real estate trends, including the impact of regulations on housing markets. They also touch on central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and their potential surveillance implications. The conversation delves into the inflationary environment and how it might affect property owners and investors. The hosts emphasize the importance of having options and diversification in the face of changing economic landscapes. Additionally, they mention the potential conversion of office buildings into homeless shelters, which could impact downtown property values and businesses negatively. Overall, Jason and John provide insights into the current economic climate and offers advice on how to navigate the challenges ahead. Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 1:25 This is why we do this 2:14 We're in Salt Lake City for The Collective Mastermind 2:36 Article: Fannie Mae notches $5B in Profits in Q2, but still expects a recession 5:58 Lifestyle compromise and FICO score of 752 9:32 Serious delinquency rates 11:01 Fannie Mae's net worth John Williams interview 12:00 California building 2.4M new houses 15:27 A broader view of the economy and some action steps one can take in light of it 18:04 Surround yourself with the right people 19:12 Central Bank Digital Currencies 20:51 FedNow® and the long arm of America 25:54 Inflation and the cost of rent 28:13 Office building conversion to residential 32:02 Accidental landlords and the problem of low housing inventory
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: 2033_CW_AMA_AIPIS_-_John_Williams_Part_2_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00pm EDT |
Mon, 31 July 2023
In this episode, host Jason Hartman welcomes guest John Williams. They discuss the current market and agree that it is rigged. They emphasize the need for individuals to take control of their financial future, as they cannot rely on the government. Hartman shares personal experiences with self-management and advocates for it, as it offers more control and efficiency. He also dispels fear-mongering about the real estate market, citing low mortgage delinquency rates and persistently low inventory levels. The episode concludes with Hartman teasing an upcoming episode about the upward pressure on rental prices. Jason then welcomes to the show real estate expert John Williams warns about the future of housing and construction regulations. He discusses a website revealing the funding and entities behind the push for net-zero carbon buildings. Cities worldwide have pledged to meet ambitious carbon reduction targets, leading to fines for non-compliance. However, the cost of compliance is astronomical, estimated at $275 trillion, creating financial ruin for many property owners. Williams predicts the gap between haves and have-nots will widen as cities enforce stringent regulations. Investors are advised to be well-informed, agile, and cautious amid uncertain future policies. #housing #regulations #climatechange #netzero #realestate
Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 1:18 Design your own future 4:09 Hybrid Self-Management and getting control 6:08 A prickly situation 10:54 Corelogic Report: US mortgage delinquency rate drops to all-time low in May 14:11 Chart: National overview of loan performance 14:25 US SFR Total available inventory - weekly, by year 15:08 Upcoming Jason Hartman Study: Why rents are so low John Williams interview 15:43 Building requirements into the future https://www.c40.org/funders-partners/ 16:32 One Billion Net Zero carbon buildings by 2030 21:37 Cost of transition: US275 Trillion from 2021 to 2050 25:10 New York Post: NYC's Local law 97 26:08 "Money goes where it's treated best" 28:44 A checklist for your property 31:08 Wall Street and the big institutionalized players 33:00 Ithaca, NY- becomes first US city to begin 100% decarbonization of buildings 34:43 A vicious cycle: how these might be funded and the inflation it will create 37:46 Obamacare & Decarbonization and California
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: 2032_CW_AMA_AIPIS_-_John_Williams_P1_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00pm EDT |
Fri, 28 July 2023
Today's Flashback Friday is from episode 497 published last April 1, 2015. Jason Hartman on the intro portion of the show talks about the sharing economy, his new Venture Alliance mastermind group, and some interesting new material called graphene. Jason also welcomes second time guest John Rubino to the show to talk about the money bubble and what that all means to our economy. John Rubino is the editor of DollarCollapse.com as well as the co-author of the Money Bubble: What To Do When It Pops. John has a lot to say about what's happening with the global economy and what to do when the money bubble pops on today's episode. Key Takeaways: 6:23 Jason talks about the sharing economy. 10:26 Check out the new material called graphene. 15:56 Venture Alliance is hosting an event on June 12 and 13 19:56 Jason introduces John Rubino to the show. 23:26 People are terrified and are looking for safe heavens to invest their money. 28:56 Banks are pushing their interest rates below zero in order to keep their financial system afloat. 37:16 Even though we've had tech and housing bubbles in the past, the money bubble is the biggest bubble of them all. 41:16 John says people will lose faith in the dollar, but Jason disagrees. 45:06 What's happening with Switzerland's currency? 52:06 The numbers keep getting worse and the math stopped making sense in 2005. 56:26 Money manages and retirees really face some tough decisions right now.
Mentioned In This Episode: I Like Local Car2Go http://www.businessinsider.com/housing-recovery-about-renters-2015-3 DollarCollapse.com The Oil Card by Jim Norman Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: 2031_FBF_CW_497__John_Rubino__Advances_in_Material_Science_The_Sharing_Economy__Money_Bubbles_with_Editor_of_DollarCollapse_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00pm EDT |
Wed, 26 July 2023
In today's 10th episode, Jason discusses the booming new home market and the prevalent housing shortage. He explains how low mortgage rates have led to a lack of resale housing, making existing mortgages highly valuable. Demographics play a significant role, with a generation double the size of the last one entering the housing market. Real estate investors have an opportunity to address the housing shortage while benefiting from the rising demand. And stay tuned for upcoming episodes on rent vs. buy analysis and intriguing data! Jason then interviews Daniel McKinley, an industrial anthropologist and neuroscientist, who uses AI and linguistic analysis to understand people, cultures, and their impact on economics and progress. McKinley's work focuses on analyzing psychological and sociological traits quantifiably and how they influence purchasing behavior, relationships, and organizational structures. He uses linguistic algorithms to predict human psychology, attitudes, and behavior, which can have significant economic implications. #InvestInRealEstate #HousingShortageSolutions #HousingMarketTrends #AI #LinguisticAnalysis #Psychology #Economics #Neuroscience #CulturalDimensions #Collectivism #Individualism #MicroExpressions #BigData #DanielMcKinley Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 1:29 A fascinating discussion awaits on our 10th Episode today 1:57 Chart: Wall Street Journal- "Death of the resale home market" 3:51 NAR Chart- New Single Family Homes, very good for home builders 5:41 What about 'Housing Starts' Daniel McKinley interview 9:25 Meet Daniel, industrial anthropologist and neuroscientist 10:39 How society organizes itself- collectivism vs. individualism 12:55 Languages and music and its influences in culture, economics and investing 17:52 New credit scoring models, voting and soda pop preferences and Ai 20:33 Betting on a 'soft science' and micro expressions 23:31 Government and the masses- what one do with this kind of information 27:19 Freedom of Information, creating a 'memory hole' and the Orwellian age 31:50 Self talk- how people can use this in their own lives 35:40 Go to PersonAbilities.com for some assessment tests
Mentioned: James W Pennebaker - The University of Texas at Austin Alvin Toffler: Power Shift Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: 2030_7_10th_Show_CW_-_Daniel_McKinley_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00pm EDT |
Mon, 24 July 2023
Jason discusses the national debt, unfunded liabilities, and the practicality of a gold standard. He also explores the idea of a balanced budget amendment and its potential impact on the economy. While acknowledging the inflationary effects of debt, he believes the U.S. will continue to kick the can down the road for years. Additionally, Jason emphasizes the importance of investing in real estate and warns that rents are too low and will likely rise, making it an opportune time for investors. Today Jason welcomes Chance Finucane from Oxbow Advisors. They discuss the economy and markets, highlighting concerns about inflation and rate hikes. With a potential economic slowdown on the horizon, banks are facing challenges with higher interest rates affecting their profit margins. As for real estate, office space is collapsing, but the housing market remains resilient due to low inventory and high equity for homeowners. For investors, dividend-paying stocks in various sectors like telecoms, oil pipelines, and REITs offer attractive opportunities in the current market. https://oxbowadvisors.com/ Check out Jason's RENT (Real Estate News & Tech) YouTube Channel today! https://www.youtube.com/@realestatenewstechrentjaso2550 #NationalDebt #GoldStandard #BalancedBudget #RealEstateInvestment #Inflation #RentalMarket
Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 1:17 The US national debt and a gold standard 2:56 Former President Ronald Reagan and the Balance Budget Amendment 7:53 Join the Empowered Investor Pro 8:49 Real Estate News & Tech YouTube channel 9:54 "RENTS are too damn low!" Chance's interview 14:24 Inflation and interest rate hikes 16:26 A mission to increase the unemployment rate 17:45 Low inventory and high interest rates 18:24 Housing crash needs a massive supply of inventory 19:51 The poison pill the FED placed in the housing market 22:17 Bank distress and hold-to-maturity bonds 25:50 Bank failures 27:07 Forcing the FED to pivot by tightening credit 28:18 Collapsing of the commercial real estate 29:28 Food and energy 30:57 Public market portfolio Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: 2029_7_CW_AMA_AIPIS_-_Chance_Finucane_v2.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00pm EDT |
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